It’s been nicknamed the “Superbowl for Dealmakers” and this year’s packed ICSC Las Vegas conference paved the way for tons of pipelines. All had comfy shoes on, phones ready to scan badges, and everyone was eager to learn and network.
Based on the buzz in the booths, it’s clear that dealmakers were happy to be able to meet face-to-face. High-demand retail locations are staying strong and able to command higher rents. However, there are also landlords in areas with less demand willing to negotiate and toss in reduced rent or concessions. With higher costs for construction and borrowing and limited supply in hot areas, both landlord and tenants are getting creative with solutions. Some are carving up vacant anchors for non-traditional tenants or experimenting with smaller footprints and more curated merchandise. Kroger is launching new concepts within the ethnic grocery space. Meanwhile others are taking advantage of large spaces to create experiential flagships, as we noted in the panel on “Shifting Store Formats” that Placer participated in, along with Kohl’s, CBRE, and Colliers. Other fascinating panels included understanding the impact of influencer marketing and innovations that are revolutionizing the shopping experience.
In a panel on “The Office - The Effect of Flexible Work Models on Foot Traffic,” a panel including Avison Young, CBRE, and Placer discussed how shoppers are shifting their times and locations for shopping, dining, fitness, and entertainment as a result of migration and varying remote and hybrid work schedules.
Over the course of the conference, one city kept popping up in conversation and that city was Miami. Whether it was cocktail party conversation, pub crawl chit chat, or booth banter, people kept lauding how this city barely missed a beat during COVID, new residents kept flocking in, its vibrant and cosmopolitan feel, and the opportunity for new concepts and store openings here. Let’s unpack some of the things happening in Miami.
Migration
Using Placer’s Migration Dashboard and honing on our Migration Draw tool, we see that Miami’s coastal areas are extremely attractive to residents.
![Niche Grades for Miami 5.24.24](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/62543a0ce693bb812fd46c4e/6656322052326900a8160e8f_ADKq_NYwyk2IppEqhkWQU2SlLFJRAEz6RPx7wO2-DZKH5EMXRw8YrLiW9XrydNfRqw7GuTMLLXlWp1Rk3apf5xO1UDl3Rtn-BYiJQl0vmSMBqIrVtyLSNUCxaiVIch4kMRjO7l5VK5dGMu_nazY0Brpt1yFGtdGLLfibo5ZmAWkeqWO08TVswoW9gPLy37cCjVAfNOL1Ka_G4FDpUFbFirNPNLY8AW74vHMXoN4Ud2VwQBIOt-ijCybQLsyEQJ82PnvVDjw%3Ds0-d-e1-ft.png)
Some of the factors that most affect Miami’s desirability include weather, being pedestrian-friendly, and superior access to restaurants and nightlife.
![Migration Draw Factors 5.24.24](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/62543a0ce693bb812fd46c4e/665632200d6826fe23fdca27_ADKq_NbyikMxTYt6pOAPBZHBdD7tRjBNrA_BDx3xknnbYZ5gtlyKeyqe7gCODjT-cRLOE1gI30hNSYphRo5s95HnUhy-dPDxugyVTM7ukOVgS7XZPhEFlPV7LyciacMFKVYlft_YWMMFVtYIyjLcXaLrJlL2iR4aRdKWTEjVQ_5fDJ7rYRmdKRaY7KHK5sehZwPVdKAvsZTwRwq4ZMoxTgZ2NVbQHavxZviTU5GCgLJpXAl2iRNFnC9-V1pnxjIQBQ%3Ds0-d-e1-ft.png)
There are of course some trade-offs as well, such as higher housing costs and overall cost of living than many transplants’ original locales.
![Migration Tradeoffs 5.24.24](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/62543a0ce693bb812fd46c4e/665632201d0f34a81b180529_ADKq_NbggdynZodkQYzHQcUk7wLGDEiLxLweT5EmLZ_s2X6-PQzKZarsWlft-KbSPbrN8DRsuNX9388PBlm54sIP2S5CkqDACNfVK4lSIIa-DBhRkU2QG-9BsvCYORRMOPCe62tpcGysSTmAnSuTewA7PWQSELZ9gO_FrXd3jlZ4UdKhA5QBiX986-0Zy19MSxEIawceLPi8G50Jw4nmcB2SEZ0RtCng7GLG4ABehlpdHUMeFJnK%3Ds0-d-e1-ft.png)
Nightlife
If you want to party in the city where the heat is on, Miami's the place for you. Taking a look at the time period of 6pm- midnight, nightlife visits in Miami outnumber those in East Williamsburg, Capitol Hill, or Deep Ellum.
Return to Office
In an interesting twist, Miami also leads in having the highest rate of return-to-office. How do they manage to do that if they’ve been out partying? It’s likely a work hard/play harder mentality. Or, like many at ICSC mentioned, Miami never really closed down as much as other cities during Covid, hence there is less to recover from. Placer's Office Dashboard notes that Miami is in the lead with the highest recovery rate.
![Miami RTO Dashboard 5.24.24](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/62543a0ce693bb812fd46c4e/66563220b9007d4e5cdbfdd9_ADKq_NaFz9k9fPZum93aOqA7mgXHRG6jBmNopEVmfn7E5dkxf1BjMevioYb6_aDSvGYNzMwtkQwdpSRYbyrMf1NtrHN6oFkkVHX_CC5mF13ka18yNVlZph_j3HpVxCdBrJ4tFqgSy7KybsGi0_sB51UBkVXEa3zlyJ4gztEcJ0NzxrVRh9w_jssGCgJ1vmQbqJVfwblcw3CbXaIJ8zO_idHHZj2dOA7BJsDSqNLeoXPnpwg0jdziQWh6EA%3Ds0-d-e1-ft.png)
Shopping and Entertainment
For those who love all things retail, there are plenty of shopping centers and shopping areas to choose from. Brickell City Centre has seen some of the largest year-over-year increases. Meanwhile, Aventura’s April visits are up considerably compared to last year. The Miami Design District, which the Anchor has written about previously, has also been showing consistent year-over-year growth this year.